- Since next race is not 100% rain, what do people do in this case.
Dry strat is different from rain (fuel, pit stops etc) - which means choosing the right strat is important. But currently it seems to me like this a random chance, if I start on rain strat, and the 1-8% chance it's dry comes true then I'm screwed?
Yes I can go pit immediately - but what if it starts raining again next lap, then I can either pit again (time lost) or can go on with my dry strat and probably get boned down the line.
And the biggest issue is the different fuel requirements, I believe dry is different from rain (at least that's what I've come to the conclusion) - which means my dry-rain strats are quite different, which makes it more important to get the strategy right.
- My question is: Is there any way to know if it will rain or not with such high chances (90-99% rain).
Quote ( Tushant Sharma @ December 17th 2016,05:52:05 )
f I start on rain strat, and the 1-8% chance it's dry comes true then I'm screwed?
It also means all your competitors are screwed so everything evens out. However in my time here I don't think it's been dry with such high probabilities for rain.
Quote ( Tushant Sharma @ December 17th 2016,05:52:05 )
Is there any way to know if it will rain or not with such high chances (92-99% rain).
There's a reason why it's chance. But it is extremely likely to rain so you don't have to worry too much. Do try to cover most possibilities but you can never cover all so don't worry too much.
Remember the race will start dry because weather of Q2 is dry. So you have two option. 1) Start on dry tyres and pit when rain starts. (Try wait to pit as 1-2 laps) 2) Start on wet tyres and hope rain start real soon.
Quote ( Tushant Sharma @ December 17th 2016,05:52:05 )
But currently it seems to me like this a random chance, if I start on rain strat, and the 1-8% chance it's dry comes true then I'm screwed?
Look closely Mate. Q1 is Wet Q2 is Dry as is Race Start
What you really need to ask yourself is; "When will the Rain Start ?" That will decide your starting strategy
You need to look at the 1/2 hour forecasts & devise your own guesstimate. No one can give you 100% the right answer.
Just keep in mind a couple of other things.
Obviously Rain Tyres in the Dry will be slower than Dry tyres as will Dry Tyres be slower in the Wet, then Rain tyres but What you may not have thought of is tyre wear of each type of tyre (Dry v's Wet) in the dry, especially in these temperatures
Both options are a bit of a Gamble, sometimes you are right, sometimes you are wrong.
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